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December 3, 2025
6 min read
Marco Grima
Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI's Code Red Crisis - Gemini 3 Forces Altman Emergency

Sam Altman's Code Red emergency. OpenAI halts all revenue features as Google's Gemini 3 dominates benchmarks and threatens the 500 billion dollar startup's future.

OpenAI's Code Red Crisis - Gemini 3 Forces Altman Emergency
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Sam Altman just hit the panic button. The OpenAI CEO declared an internal "code red" emergency this week, ordering employees to immediately halt work on advertising, AI shopping assistants, health agents, and the company's Pulse personal assistant. No more revenue projects. No more experiments. Everything stops until ChatGPT can catch up to Google's Gemini 3. This is a company in crisis mode, and it's reshaping the entire AI landscape.

For two years, OpenAI seemed untouchable. ChatGPT changed everything. Now Google has flipped the script. Their latest Gemini 3 model is outperforming OpenAI's next-generation GPT model on industry benchmarks while capturing market share and user engagement. It's not just Gemini either. Anthropic's Opus 4.5 is also crushing OpenAI in key tests. The company that once owned AI is now playing defense.

The Code Red Moment That Shocked Silicon Valley

Internal memos obtained by The Wall Street Journal and The Information reveal the severity of OpenAI's panic. Altman explicitly told staff to abandon plans for advertising features, AI shopping assistants, health-focused AI agents, and Pulse, the company's personal assistant product. These weren't minor side projects. These were meant to be massive revenue streams that would diversify OpenAI beyond its API business and ChatGPT subscriptions.

This pivot is stark. OpenAI went from aggressive expansion mode to pure survival mode in weeks. The company is bleeding competitively, and Altman knows it. He's bet the entire $500 billion valuation on maintaining technical superiority. That edge just vanished.

Internally, the message is blunt: stop building, start fixing. Every engineer, every product person, every resource gets redirected to the core product. It's the kind of decision that signals deep trouble. Companies don't issue code red unless they're facing existential threats.

AI model competition and benchmark comparisons

AI model competition and benchmark comparisons

Gemini 3 Just Made History

Google's Gemini 3 isn't just competitive. It's winning across every dimension that matters. According to available benchmarks, Gemini 3 is outperforming OpenAI's next-generation model on technical performance metrics. But that's just the technical story. The real damage is in market dynamics. Users are actively switching. Engagement is climbing. Market share is shifting.

Google also shipped Nano Banana Pro, its new image generator, and it's gaining real traction. This isn't vaporware or promises. It's real products that real users prefer. That's the nightmare scenario for OpenAI. When users don't just prefer your competitor's features, they prefer their entire experience.

The validation here? Google built its advantage the hard way. DeepMind's CTO Koray Kavukcuoglu explained during the AWS re:Invent conference that Google's differentiated full-stack approach lets them train models on custom silicon while immediately deploying them into products. Translation: Google controls everything from chips to deployment. They own the entire stack. OpenAI outsourced critical pieces, and now it's costing them.

Anthropicis squeezing OpenAI from another angle. Their Opus 4.5 model also beat GPT models in key tests. OpenAI isn't facing one competitor anymore. It's surrounded.

The Infrastructure Death Spiral

Here's the structural problem that keeps Altman awake at night: OpenAI has a fundamental cost disadvantage. The company depends entirely on Microsoft's cloud infrastructure and Nvidia's expensive chips. No custom silicon. No in-house data centers. No control over the foundation.

Compare that to Google. Google designs its own chips (TPUs). Google owns massive data centers. Google controls the entire cost structure. When Google builds a model, they own every layer. When OpenAI builds a model, they're paying retail prices to two different vendors. That gap compounds with every new model, every training run, every inference request.

It's not just cost either. It's speed. Google can iterate faster. They can experiment cheaper. They can scale without negotiating with cloud providers. OpenAI is trapped behind other people's infrastructure decisions.

Nvidia used to be the untouchable beneficiary. Now that advantage is becoming a problem for OpenAI's margins. Microsoft gets a cut. Nvidia gets a cut. OpenAI has to build a product that's valuable enough to overcome both.

Nvidia Just Lost $250 Billion in Market Value

The shockwaves hit financial markets immediately. Nvidia's stock crashed over 6% in a single trading session, erasing roughly $250 billion in market value. One reason? Meta Platforms is in advanced talks to buy billions of dollars worth of Google's TPU chips instead of Nvidia's GPUs.

This is the cascading effect nobody predicted. Google's Gemini dominance doesn't just threaten OpenAI. It threatens Nvidia's entire business model. If major cloud customers start diversifying away from Nvidia chips toward custom silicon, the AI infrastructure market breaks apart.

Meta's potential pivot to Google TPUs is the canary in the coal mine. Meta is one of Nvidia's massive customers, right up there with OpenAI and Amazon. If they're starting to talk to Google about TPUs, other mega-customers are definitely having the same conversations. The assumption that Nvidia would own the entire AI infrastructure market is cracking.

This creates a vicious cycle for OpenAI. As customers explore alternatives to Nvidia chips, they're also exploring alternatives to OpenAI models. Why stay locked into Nvidia if you're paying premium prices to run OpenAI models that Google already beat?

What Happens When Code Red Doesn't Work

The real question now: can pivoting to survival mode actually save OpenAI? Halting advertising, shutting down side projects, and throwing everything at the core product sounds smart until you realize the core product is getting beaten. Revenue cuts won't fix technical inferiority. Layoffs won't fix architecture problems. Going back to basics might stabilize the ship, but it doesn't regain lost ground.

Meanwhile, Google's running the opposite play. DeepMind is doubling down on their infrastructure advantage. They're deploying faster, iterating quicker, and capturing users daily. Google has patience that OpenAI can't afford. Google can lose money on some projects because they own the infrastructure stack. OpenAI has to make every project profitable.

The talent war just got hotter too. If OpenAI can't compete technically, the best researchers and engineers will leave. They didn't join OpenAI to build secondary products. They came to build the best AI. Now the best AI is at Google. Altman knows this. Every engineer at OpenAI knows this.

Bottom line

OpenAI just admitted defeat on multiple fronts by declaring code red. Sam Altman is pulling the fire alarm because Google's Gemini 3 has already won the technical battle, and it's starting to win the market battle. The company is abandoning revenue projects, consolidating around survival, and desperately trying to regain technical superiority.

The problem? Throwing people at a problem doesn't fix fundamental structural disadvantages. OpenAI's outsourced infrastructure strategy is now a liability. Google's full-stack control is now an asset. The market is starting to price this in.

Watch for three things next: AI model performance benchmarks from independent testers, customer switching announcements, and whether OpenAI's technical teams can actually deliver a competitive next model. If any of those go against OpenAI, the code red becomes a meltdown.


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